Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 4.249125 4.570665 4.915716 5.315430 5.768128 6.267804 6.865060
2025-06-08 3.738380 4.186110 4.698604 5.336298 6.119659 7.066019 8.320890
2025-06-15 3.451366 3.971647 4.594445 5.410561 6.476895 7.861838 9.868950
2025-06-22 3.128594 3.664068 4.324072 5.219609 6.441107 8.113207 10.707060
2025-06-29 2.898987 3.444233 4.132691 5.094685 6.456558 8.410533 11.640480
2025-07-06 2.720660 3.271792 3.982136 5.000354 6.490253 8.721819 12.640824
2025-07-13 2.593050 3.153892 3.890900 4.973494 6.609689 9.168790 13.957514
2025-07-20 2.522138 3.104500 3.885702 5.063925 6.909415 9.941508 16.060363
2025-07-27 2.465918 3.069807 3.895954 5.174337 7.249047 10.834251 18.683474
2025-08-03 2.384223 2.994171 3.841474 5.179463 7.414028 11.441011 20.907690
2025-08-10 2.285434 2.888854 3.736746 5.096402 7.417798 11.742037 22.519859
2025-08-17 2.184277 2.775158 3.612976 4.973032 7.336823 11.861566 23.715211
2025-08-24 2.096368 2.679464 3.515074 4.891374 7.335039 12.171034 25.666155
2025-08-31 2.038539 2.624943 3.476480 4.904856 7.511153 12.898771 29.295665
2025-09-07 1.997757 2.592908 3.469524 4.969499 7.790544 13.919706 34.645661
2025-09-14 1.905694 2.480944 3.332897 4.801968 7.597993 13.795649 35.705907
2025-09-21 1.833154 2.395290 3.233360 4.692156 7.509567 13.912478 37.882124
2025-09-28 1.771605 2.323663 3.152382 4.609114 7.466206 14.134927 40.739660
2025-10-05 1.726958 2.275788 3.106733 4.585449 7.542831 14.687854 45.760346
2025-10-12 1.706829 2.264186 3.118289 4.665089 7.847280 15.939882 56.328928
2025-10-19 1.691103 2.258488 3.138771 4.762192 8.203058 17.456958 71.956027
2025-10-26 1.658118 2.224663 3.111135 4.766696 8.350209 18.387652 85.866644
2025-11-02 1.612309 2.169239 3.045166 4.693666 8.308483 18.696394 95.074755